Assembly processes inferred from eDNA surveys of a pond metacommunity are consistent with known species ecologies
Abstract
Technological advances are enabling ecologists to conduct large-scale and structured community surveys. However, it is unclear how best to extract information from these novel community data. We metabarcoded 48 vertebrate species from their eDNA in 320 ponds across England and applied the ‘internal structure’ approach, which uses joint species distribution models (JSDMs) to explain compositions as the result of four metacommunity processes: environmental filtering, dispersal, species interactions, and stochasticity. We confirm that environmental filtering plays an important role in community assembly, and find that species’ estimated environmental preferences are consistent with known ecologies. We also detect negative biotic covariances between fish and amphibians after controlling for divergent environmental preferences, consistent with predator-prey interactions (likely mediated by predator avoidance behaviour), and we detect high spatial autocorrelation for the palmate newt, consistent with its hypothesised relict distribution. Promisingly, ecologically and spatially distinctive sites are better explained by their environmental covariates and geographic locations, respectively, revealing sites where environmental filtering and dispersal limitation act more strongly. These results are consistent with the recent proposal that applying JSDMs to species distribution patterns can help reveal the relative importance of environmental filtering, dispersal limitation, and biotic interaction processes for individual sites and species. Our results also highlight the value of the modern interpretation of metacommunity ecology, which embraces the fact that assembly processes differ among species and sites. We discuss how novel community data allow for several study design improvements that will strengthen the inference of metacommunity assembly processes from observational data.
What the paper shows and why it matters (AI-generated)
Applying joint species distribution models to eDNA surveys of 320 English ponds recovers patterns ecologists already knew from decades of conventional fieldwork — genuine habitat preferences, a predator-prey signal between fish and amphibians, a spatially clustered relict newt population — which is reassuring rather than trivial. The result underwrites a fast-growing biodiversity-monitoring method: eDNA is only as useful as the ecological signal it actually captures, and this is direct evidence it captures the real thing rather than noise dressed up as pattern.