Publications
Below, you can find a full list of my publications, including preprints and software, with citation counts and further statistics. Citation lists are also available on Google Scholar, ORCID, Scopus, Web of Science and Semantic Scholar.
- Publications
- 126
- Co-authors
- 683
- Citations
- 31,384
- h-index
- 58
- i10-index
- 109
Citations, h-index, i10-index and citations per year per Google Scholar, as of 23 October 2026, for all publications, including preprints and software. The publication count covers the papers and preprints in the publication list on this site; co-authors are counted from it (see the co-authors page).
2026
Local management at low- to moderate-intensity benefits wild bees in European calcareous grasslands while landscape conservation effects vary
Evaluating the Robustness of Process-Pattern Links Using Phylogenies—Insights from a Comparison of Eight Simulation Models
Impacts of climate change on biodiversity and ecosystems in Bavaria: a sectoral analysis
Hydrological recruitment niches of wetland plants are associated with dormancy, alternating temperature, and oxygen requirements
Calibration, Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Complex Ecological Models—A Review
Full prediction uncertainty quantification: A plea from science and decision making
Equivalence testing in pesticide risk assessment: evaluation and practical guidance for design, analysis and interpretation
Analyzing animal movement using deep learning Preprint
Efficiency of RNAi-based gene silencing in fungi: a meta-analysis
A novel age-informative polygenic score improves predictive ability for kidney function and kidney function decline Preprint
2025
Species Richness Gradients Vary Across Phylogenetic Scales
Dispersion tests in generalized linear mixed-effects models: a methods comparison and practical guide for ecologists Preprint
Human and apex predators shape lower trophic levels through top-down control
Learning from fungicide resistance: Evolutionary insights to guide RNAi-based control of fungal crop pathogens
Graph Neural Networks for Likelihood-Free Inference in Diversification Models Preprint
Assembly processes inferred from eDNA surveys of a pond metacommunity are consistent with known species ecologies
Advancing general ecosystem models (GEMs): Towards a mechanistic understanding of the biosphere in the light of the Anthropocene
Predicting interaction frequency in plant-pollinator networks Preprint
Using the ODD protocol and NetLogo to replicate agent-based models
2024
Is there a robust effect of mainland mutualism rates on species richness of oceanic islands? Preprint
Latitudinal patterns in stabilizing density dependence of forest communities
Novel community data in ecology-properties and prospects
Consequences of Local Conspecific Density Effects for Plant Diversity and Community Dynamics
Fitting individual-based models of spatial population dynamics to long-term monitoring data
‘cito’: an R package for training neural networks using ‘torch’
Inferring the tree regeneration niche from inventory data using a dynamic forest model
Analyzing longitudinal trait trajectories using GWAS identifies genetic variants for kidney function decline
The road to integrate climate change projections with regional land-use–biodiversity models
2023
Can predictive models be used for causal inference? Preprint
A Comparison of Deep Learning Architectures for Inferring Parameters of Diversification Models from Extant Phylogenies Preprint
doi:10.1101/2023.03.03.53099228 citations
Machine learning and deep learning—A review for ecologists
Demography–environment relationships improve mechanistic understanding of range dynamics under climate change
2022
Studying speciation and extinction dynamics from phylogenies: addressing identifiability issues
The evidence contained in the P-value is context dependent
Accuracy, realism and general applicability of European forest models
Climate-driven, but dynamic and complex? A reconciliation of competing hypotheses for species’ distributions
Climate and parameter sensitivity and induced uncertainties in carbon stock projections for European forests (using LPJ-GUESS 4.0)
Deer Behavior Affects Density Estimates With Camera Traps, but Is Outweighed by Spatial Variability
Issues in calibrating models with multiple unbalanced constraints: the significance of systematic model and data errors
The internal structure of metacommunities
Software sjSDM: Scalable Joint Species Distribution Modeling
Software cito: Building and Training Neural Networks
2021
Is Variation in Conspecific Negative Density Dependence Driving Tree Diversity Patterns at Large Scales?
A new joint species distribution model for faster and more accurate inference of species associations from big community data
Towards robust statistical inference for complex computer models
Sequential Monte-Carlo algorithms for Bayesian model calibration – A review and method comparison
Linking functional traits and demography to model species-rich communities
gen3sis: A general engine for eco-evolutionary simulations of the processes that shape Earth’s biodiversity
Siberian plants shift their phenology in response to climate change
Inferring species interactions using Granger causality and convergent cross mapping
Species and genetic diversity patterns show different responses to land use intensity in central European grasslands
Environmental heterogeneity predicts global species richness patterns better than area
Explainable artificial intelligence enhances the ecological interpretability of black-box species distribution models
Modellunsicherheiten in Klimafolgeprojektionen. Eine Einführung
2020
Machine learning algorithms to infer trait-matching and predict species interactions in ecological networks
The Minimum Detectable Difference (MDD) Concept for Establishing Trust in Nonsignificant Results: A Critical Review
r3PG – An R package for simulating forest growth using the 3-PG process-based model
Prior hypotheses or regularization allow inference of diversification histories from extant timetrees Preprint
Preprint. Comment on Louca & Pennell, Nature, 2020.
Plant species richness increases with light availability, but not variability, in temperate forests understorey
The PROFOUND Database for evaluating vegetation models and simulating climate impacts on European forests
Assessing the response of forest productivity to climate extremes in Switzerland using model–data fusion
Advancing an interdisciplinary framework to study seed dispersal ecology
Towards a New Generation of Trait-Flexible Vegetation Models
Available and missing data to model impact of climate change on European forests
The influence of camera trap flash type on the behavioural reactions and trapping rates of red deer and roe deer
Bayesian calibration of a growth-dependent tree mortality model to simulate the dynamics of European temperate forests
Software ProfoundData: Downloading and Exploring Data from the PROFOUND Database
Software r3PG: Simulating Forest Growth using the 3-PG Model
Software gen3sis: General Engine for Eco-Evolutionary Simulations
2019
A Minimal Model for the Latitudinal Diversity Gradient Suggests a Dominant Role for Ecological Limits
The total dispersal kernel: a review and future directions
Global warming likely to enhance black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.) growth in a Mediterranean riparian forest
The multi-dimensional nature of information drives prioritization of private over social information in ants
Defaunation of large-bodied frugivores reduces carbon storage in a tropical forest of Southeast Asia
A model with many small shifts for estimating species-specific diversification rates
Rapid changes in seed dispersal traits may modify plant responses to global change
Calibrating an individual-based movement model to predict functional connectivity for little owls
Employing plant functional groups to advance seed dispersal ecology and conservation
The Latitudinal Diversity Gradient: Novel Understanding through Mechanistic Eco-evolutionary Models
Chilling and forcing temperatures interact to predict the onset of wood formation in Northern Hemisphere conifers
The Recruitment Niche Predicts Plant Community Assembly Across a Hydrological Gradient Along Plowed and Undisturbed Transects in a Former Agricultural Wetland
Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale
A temperature-based model for predicting the immigration of Cacopsylla melanoneura and C. picta, vectors of the apple proliferation disease, in South Tyrol, Northern Italy (Hemiptera: Psylloidea)
An R package facilitating sensitivity analysis, calibration and forward simulations with the LPJ-GUESS dynamic vegetation model
2018
Comment on “Plant diversity increases with the strength of negative density dependence at the global scale”
Using synthetic data to evaluate the benefits of large field plots for forest biomass estimation with LiDAR
Model averaging in ecology: a review of Bayesian, information-theoretic, and tactical approaches for predictive inference
Biotic interactions in species distribution modelling: 10 questions to guide interpretation and avoid false conclusions
An extended empirical saddlepoint approximation for intractable likelihoods
A comparison of methods for estimating plant population size
Last-century forest productivity in a managed dry-edge Scots pine population: the two sides of climate warming
Software rLPJGUESS: A R package that wraps the LPJ-GUESS 3.1 model
2017
Structure and community composition in a tropical forest suggest a change of ecological processes during stand development
Productivity of Fagus sylvatica under climate change – A Bayesian analysis of risk and uncertainty using the model 3-PG
The NUCOMBog R package for simulating vegetation, water, carbon and nitrogen dynamics in peatlands
Simulation Modeling
Book chapter, edited by D. Gibson.
Do roe deer react to wildlife warning reflectors? A test combining a controlled experiment with field observations
Cross-validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure
Identifying local drivers of a vector-pathogen-disease system using Bayesian modeling
Functional flower traits and their diversity drive pollinator visitation
Mechanistic simulation models in macroecology and biogeography: state-of-art and prospects
Software BayesianTools: General-Purpose MCMC and SMC Samplers and Tools for Bayesian Statistics
doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.BayesianToolssoftware page178 citations
2016
Heavy and frequent thinning promotes drought adaptation in Pinus sylvestris forests
Community dynamics under environmental change: How can next generation mechanistic models improve projections of species distributions?
Intraspecific trait variation across scales: implications for understanding global change responses
Software DHARMa: Residual Diagnostics for Hierarchical (Multi-Level / Mixed) Regression Models
doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.DHARMasoftware page14,609 citations
Software NUCOMBog: NUtrient Cycling and COMpetition Model Undisturbed Open Bog Ecosystems in a Temperate to Sub-Boreal Climate
2015
Estimating over- and understorey canopy density of temperate mixed stands by airborne LiDAR data
A genetic analysis reveals low prevalence of phytoplasma infection in Hyalesthes obsoletus Signoret, vector of ‘bois noir’, in SW-Germany Preprint
Stratified aboveground forest biomass estimation by remote sensing data
Bayesian inference of environmental and biotic factors determining the occurrence of the grapevine disease ‘bois noir’
Dale & Fortin – the revised guide to spatial analysis
2014
Importance of sample size, data type and prediction method for remote sensing-based estimations of aboveground forest biomass
On the Sympatric Evolution and Evolutionary Stability of Coexistence by Relative Nonlinearity of Competition
Ecological and economic conditions and associated institutional challenges for conservation banking in dynamic landscapes
EU agricultural reform fails on biodiversity
Technical Note: Approximate Bayesian parameterization of a process-based tropical forest model
2013
Does model-free forecasting really outperform the true model?
On the Challenge of Fitting Tree Size Distributions in Ecology
Process, correlation and parameter fitting in species distribution models: a response to Kriticos et al
Bayesian calibration, comparison and averaging of six forest models, using data from Scots pine stands across Europe
2012
Connecting dynamic vegetation models to data – an inverse perspective
Parameter and uncertainty estimation for process-oriented population and distribution models: data, statistics and the niche
How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography
Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy
Offsetting Policies for Biodiversity Conservation
Book chapter, edited by F. Jordán and S. E. Jørgensen.
2011
Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models – theory and application
Conserving biodiversity with tradable permits under changing conservation costs and habitat restoration time lags
Biodiversity conservation in dynamic landscapes: trade-offs between number, connectivity and turnover of habitat patches
Applying tradable permits to biodiversity conservation: design issues, modelling and policies
Book chapter, edited by B. Hansjürgens, R. Antes and M. Strunz.